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PERT Estimator

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PERT Estimator

Estimate expected activity duration and uncertainty from three-point estimates.

PERT
1

Three-point estimate

Use consistent time units.

Expected Duration (O + 4M + P) ÷ 6
Std. Deviation (P − O) ÷ 6
Variance SD²
Approx. 95% Range TE ± 2SD

Interpretation

Calculate to see the expected duration and uncertainty.